The landscape of AI is not merely filled with news. It is filled with teams. You have the doomers, the accelerationists, the skeptics, the it’s-a-bubble oracles, the anti-bubble counter oracles, and so on. It would be convenient for my sanity—and, perhaps, the sanity of my readers—if I simply joined one team and never removed the jersey. But I don’t think any aforementioned tribe has a monopoly on good arguments. I think the doomers are right about the risk of the technology, and the accelerationists are right about the promise of the technology, and the skeptics are right that the doomers and accelerationists can both overstate their cases.